Covid 19: pandemic on the brink?
Are we sensing a pandemic on the brink?
What could be the next pandemic?
In fact, for the word pandemic, it has nothing to do with the severity of the disease, but rather its geographical spread. The exact definition varies within the organization in the organization. But in general, if a virus starts to jump beyond international borders and spreads around the world. Only then is it considered a pandemic, but in reality, it is not so simple.
Thus if you have contracted Covid-19 in China, but then you went home to America and spread it to someone there. This does not count as crossing international borders.
It becomes a pandemic when people start to be infected by people who have no traces in infected places or the initial center of the epidemic.
pandemics had been happening from times in memorial. For example, the Antonine plague, which happened to the Roman Empire when the troops returned home from the east. It is estimated that the pandemic killed five million people Across Greece, Italy, Egypt, and today’s Turkey.
We don’t know exactly what caused the pandemic, but researchers think it was huge.
Spanish flu pandemic
Then of course you probably have the most infamous Spanish flu pandemic in 1918. This isn’t called that because it started in Spain.
It is believed that it can originate in an army camp in Kansas, Which was then brought to Europe with troops. But the Spanish flu has been named because Spain is a neutral country during World War I.
It openly reported its occurrence while other countries censored or attempted to conceal it. This time 500 million people became infected and about 50 to 100 million died.
That was more people than World War 1 was killed. What was probably the scariest part was that she had a second wave in October. So the first wave affects people who were mostly elderly or young or sick. But the second wave affected people between the ages of 20 and 40.
Interestingly War is often considered a contributing factor, not just because troops were moving around the world with improved transportation and technology. But soldiers were more likely to get the flu because of stress, malnutrition, and chemical attacks.
But as soon as the Spanish flu hit its worst point, it quickly faded. After the peak of the second wave in October, the countries went through thousands of deaths.
One theory suggests that the virus actually, stays away from its most deadly species as people die with those deadly strains. All that remained were softer versions. But now in modern world when it becomes a pandemic, we ask agencies such as the CDC and WHO to declare a pandemic.
But various scientists, epidemiologists, or collectives can technically declare one based on their judgments.
You might think this would be an easy decision, once it acts like a pandemic they called it a pandemic. But these viruses are difficult to track specifically if the disease has a long incubation period. The period either causes minor symptoms leaving the diagnosis invalid.
When is the next pandemic expected?
No one knows when the next pandemic is expected. But yes, based on the available data and the studies behind it we can somehow reason out the impetus and circumstances in which, some of the known viruses emerge.
Additionally, there are other issues with the claim of a pandemic as well. For example, the WHO came under scrutiny in 2009 when the H1N1 virus was declared a pandemic. That’s because it led to some Unnecessary panic and many places ended up costing the money to develop a flu vaccine when it ended up being soft enough and easy to contain.
In conclusion, we are not at the brink of a pandemic; we are indeed gazing deeply into, what could be the next pandemic. The official classification of a pandemic by institutions depends on several factors. But surprisingly it’s just a label and there are no legal implications.
(For informational purpose only. Consult your local medical authority for advice. )